In the 1960s, Lindy’s delicatessen in New York was renowned for its world-famous cheesecake and as an aftershow meeting place for the Broadway crowd. Here they would meet in the evenings to discuss shows and performances by peers. In doing so, they developed a theory that an actor or comedian’s previous exposure was indicative of the exposure they could expect in future. In other words, if a show had been running for two years, it would most likely stick around for at least another two.
Thanks for the post, though I would disagree on the Luddites part: while it's true that there are some Luddites sticking around, it's also true that most Luddites in history haven't stuck around (and today's Luddites are very much supported by new technologies). Perhaps, the point isn't to refuse anything new (what Luddites do) but to acknowledge that what's new is likely to disappear soon *and yet* a small percentage of the new might be very important.
The Lindy Effect
Thanks for the post, though I would disagree on the Luddites part: while it's true that there are some Luddites sticking around, it's also true that most Luddites in history haven't stuck around (and today's Luddites are very much supported by new technologies). Perhaps, the point isn't to refuse anything new (what Luddites do) but to acknowledge that what's new is likely to disappear soon *and yet* a small percentage of the new might be very important.
(p.s., if you're interested in a more generalized version of the Lindy Effect: https://luca-dellanna.com/Lindy)
This is rather thought-provoking and I need to sit with it for a while. I really like the idea and want to now apply it to everything. :)